A southwest flow aloft is dragging moisture back up into the region, resulting in dew points once again cracking 70 and some scattered showers. It is going to be muggy tonight and warm & humid Tuesday. There will be some showers at times and the chance for a heavier downpour or t-storm. Lows will hover near 70 degrees tonight. Highs Tuesday will be about 80-85. The shower/thundershower threat will carry over into the first part of Tuesday night. Conditions will be turning a bit less humid again Wednesday under a mix of sun & clouds. High temperatures will be in the seasonable mid-80′s. Thursday & Friday look quite nice with low humidity (dew points in the 50′s) and mostly sunny skies. Highs in the upper 70′s-low 80′s Thursday and 80-85 Friday. At this point, Saturday looks partly sunny with highs 80-85.
A pair of cold fronts – one in the Great Lakes/central Plains and the other in southern Canada will bring much-needed relief to our area for Sunday. These fronts will produce some showers and t-storms Saturday afternoon and evening. We will probably see enough sun though, Saturday, to get highs up between 87-94. Another 90 degree day at BDL would make 7 in a row and tie them for 10th place for consecutive 90+ degree highs. Tonight will be similar to last night, with temps above 80 through midnight and lows in the 70′s predawn under a partly cloudy sky. Any showers or storms will wrap up during the first half of Saturday night. Lows will drop into the 60′s. Sunday should turn out very pleasant, with seasonable highs holding in the 80′s and noticeably lower humidity. Dewpoints drop into the 50′s inland to about 60 along the shore. Monday stays dry and comfortable. After that, we may be looking at some more showers.
Well, after 2 months of frustration, I have finally got WordPress operational again. If you use WordPress and find that it no longer allows you to post, check with your hosting company to see if the hard drive space allotted for database files is fully used up. The problem here was that after I nuked a ton of files, the full-to-capacity database wouldn’t budge. No one that I spoke with at my hosting company over the past couple months could tell me why until yesterday when I had to call them for a different reason. I figured since I had them on the line, I’d give it another shot. The tech on the other end of the line knew exactly what to do. He had to “re-sync the database”. That did the trick. I wish he was the one that answered the phone in May.
Well, if you have a few hours to waste one of these days, ask me what I had to do to get my WordPress blog back up and running…..but I digress. (Still trying to figure out to get image posts working again).
Anyway, Flood watches are back up for our region beginning Thursday morning. A low pressure system, more reminiscent of something you would see in the winter will slide in from the west and out to our south Thursday night/Friday. There is still some model disagreement on things like start time and amounts, but at this point I’m thinking the rain will begin during Thursday morning in most places, become moderate to heavy at times Thursday afternoon & night, then taper to showers during Friday morning. The upper-level trough may also produce a shower or two Friday afternoon/evening – especially across the western hills. I estimate that we will pick up another 1″-2″ of rain across CT from this event.
Clouds will increase late tonight and low will be in the 50′s. Temps will try to reach 60/low 60′s Thursday morning before the rain arrives. After it gets going the temperature will drop into the 50′s (average high is 77).
The Upton, NY National Weather Service office has indicated that a new 24-hour snowfall record was set for the state of Connecticut during the blizzard earlier this year (February 8-9). Ansonia’s 36″ report is the new record. The explanation of why other higher amounts reported were not used can be found here.
An area of showers moving out of eastern PA may bring some raindrops to the northwestern third of CT and parts of western MA this evening around 7-9 PM. Elsewhere, the best chance for a shower or thundershower will develop later tonight. Low temperatures will remain in the mid-upper 50′s. I wouldn’t be surprised if some areas see some patchy fog by morning. Saturday looks unsettled with showers and areas of rain at times, along with the chance for a thundershower. Highs between 67-72. The precipitation will taper off during Saturday night. Mothers Day look partly cloudy and although most of the day will be rain-free, the chance for a shower does exist (especially around midday), as a cold front moves across the region. Highs will be 65-70. After Sunday it turns cooler.
Areas of rain & thundershowers are widespread across CT at 2:20 P.M. The back edge of the activity is lifting northward into Long Island Sound. Most of the rain & thunder should be over in CT by this evening/early tonight as things continue to move to the north. Most of tonight will be partly cloudy with lows in the low 50′s. Warmer weather tomorrow, with highs reaching 75-80 under a mix of sun & clouds (cooler shore points). Some more showers & thunder Friday night & Saturday. Saturday’s highs in the low-mid 70′s. Mothers Day looks partly cloudy with the chance for a shower.
Some heavier showers & thundershowers are moving north through portions of southern CT now. Lightning has decreased within this band during the past 30 minutes.
Last month was one of the driest Aprils on record in Bridgeport (1.09″) and BDL only saw 1.67″ of rain – none since April 20th! After a long stretch of dry weather, the upper-level block and high pressure ridge are finally breaking down. A stacked-up low pressure system will drift up from the south bringing some much needed rain to the area beginning Wednesday. In fact, cloudiness will increase tonight, and some drizzle or fog may develop. Lows will hold in the low-mid 50′s. Showers & periods of rain get going Wednesday with high temperatures in the 65-70 degree range.
It looks like we will stay in an unsettled pattern through the rest of the week. There will be some showers around Thursday, and there is also the chance for some thunder Wednesday-Thursday. Friday looks partly cloudy and with a little luck we could get through much of the daytime dry. Some more rain or showers come through Friday night into Saturday. There is still a question as to weather the wet weather kicks out to the east by Mother’s Day (Sunday) ala the GFS or some showers linger per the ECMWF. Temperatures will be on the mild side through Saturday (i.e. 60′s & 70′s).
Some showers will affect the region this evening and tonight. Some of the showers will be moderate to heavy into the first half of tonight. There is a decent line of thunderstorms approaching Williamsport, PA, with a warning out west of IPT. Some of the modeling brings this line due east and right across our region this evening, although with the warmest air south of us now, I would expect some weakening of this area before it arrives here. Low temps will drop into the 40′s tonight and highs won’t get out of the 50′s Thursday. There will be some lingering clouds and a light shower or two or some drizzle at times Thursday. Steadier rain spreads back in Friday as low pressure moves up from the southwest. Highs will probably stay in the 40′s. in fact, some mixed precipitation is possible in parts of western MA Thursday night into Friday. Things will dry out for the weekend.